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Realized Price Projection

Data & charts updated every hour

UTXO update 27 minutes ago

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Realized Price Projection Explained

Realized price has generally been used as a floor for the price of Bitcoin.

We extended this and created two new bands, for a total of 3 bands.

These bands create a "tunnel" that acts as support, resistance, and a price projection.

Top band - resistance: 10-Year Realized Price * 4.0
Middle band - price projection: MVRV 10-Year MA * realized price
Bottom band - support: Realized price

Top Band

The top band is the 10-Year Realized Price * 4.0. This has historically been a strong resistance level during Bitcoin tops.

Middle Band

The middle band is the 10-Year moving average of MVRV * realized price. This is simple, because it just looks at the normal rate of difference between MVRV and the realized price to create a price projection.

Bottom Band

The bottom band is the realized price. This has historically been a strong support level during Bitcoin bottoms.

More Charts

Short Term Holder MVRV

The Bitcoin price divided by the short term holder realized price.

Bitcoin Market Cycles

Attempts to pinpoint Bitcoin's cycles based on on-chain data.

Power Law Rainbow

A rainbow chart based on the Bitcoin power law and time.

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