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Bitcoin Difficulty Retarget Estimation

Data & charts updated every hour - Get 10 seconds

Block update 7 minute(s) ago

Latest Block

901,004

Current Pace

100.0%

+0.08 blocks from expectation

Next Difficulty Estimate

126.99T ( + 0.00%)

147 blocks remaining

Estimated Retarget Time

June 14th, 2025 at 1:28 AM

Last: May 31st, 2025 at 12:01 AM

Bitcoin Difficulty Retarget Explained

This chart shows the estimated next difficulty adjustment based on the current mining pace. The difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks (approximately every 2 weeks) to maintain a 10-minute average block time.


The current pace is calculated by comparing the actual time taken to mine recent blocks against the expected 10-minute interval. A pace of 100% means blocks are being mined exactly on schedule, while values above 100% indicate faster mining and values below 100% indicate slower mining.

Formula
\text{Current Pace} = \frac{1}{\text{Adjustment Ratio}} \cdot 100\%
Formula
\text{Adjustment Ratio} = \frac{\text{Actual Timespan}}{20160 \text{ minutes}}
Formula
\text{Next Difficulty} = \frac{\text{Current Difficulty}}{\text{Adjustment Ratio}}

The adjustment ratio is capped between 0.25x and 4x to prevent extreme difficulty changes. The actual timespan is measured over the last 2016 blocks, and the expected timespan is 20160 minutes (14 days).

Disclaimer
Any information found on this page is not to be considered as financial advice. You should do your own research before making any decisions.

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