Bitcoin Market Cycles
Attempts to pinpoint where Bitcoin is in its cycles using on-chain data only.
Want access to these private charts?
Get instant access. Upgrade to Bitbo Pro.
Get instant access. Upgrade to Bitbo Pro.
Private On-Chain Charts
50MARP
Comparison of the 50-day realized price moving average vs a 50-day moving average of price.
50MARP Momentum
A momentum indicator based on the 50MARP showing bullish and bearish signals.
Supply in Profit
Shows the percent of bitcoin in profit with color-coding of the price.
Realized Price Momentum
A momentum indicator using realized price.
Realized Movement Zones
A chart showing the amount of Bitcoin that has moved at different price levels.
LTH - STH MVRV Difference
A chart showing the difference between long term holder and short term holder MVRV.
5MO & 2YR Realized Price
A chart showing the 5mo-2yr realized price.
Bitcoin Ancient Supply (10y+)
A chart showing the amount of Bitcoin that has not moved for at least 10 years.
Bitcoin Ancient Supply Growth (10y+)
A chart showing the growth of Bitcoin that has not moved for at least 10 years.
Bitcoin Ancient Supply Decrease (10y+)
A chart showing the decrease of Bitcoin that has not moved for at least 10 years.
Bitcoin Ancient Supply vs Daily Issuance (10y+)
A chart showing the amount of Bitcoin that has not moved for at least 10 years compared to the daily issuance of Bitcoin.
Private Stock to Flow Charts
Stock to Flow Bands
Shows the Bitcoin Stock to Flow model with standard deviation bands, using a 463-day SMA to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions.
Stock to Flow Colored by Percentile
Displays Bitcoin price colored by deviation from S2F projection, with blue indicating below projection and red above, alongside the S2F projected price and price ratio.
Stock to Flow / Power Law Average
Combines S2F and power law projections for a more conservative price estimate while maintaining S2F's timing advantages for market movements.
S2F, RSI, Realized Price, and 1458 Day MA
A hybrid chart combining multiple indicators including Stock to Flow, RSI, Realized Price and the 1458-day moving average.
S2F Rainbow
A rainbow chart based on the Bitcoin Stock to Flow model.
Private Power Law Charts
Power Law Rainbow
A rainbow chart based on the Bitcoin power law and time.
Colored Power Law (Percentiles)
Price colored by the percentile of the price deviation from the power law. As the price diverges below the power law line, the markers become more blue. As it diverges above the line, the markers become more red.
Private Cycle Charts
Advanced Cycle Repeat
Similar to Bitbo's original cycle repeat chart, but more customizable.
Bitcoin Cycle Extremes
Combines multiple top & bottom indicators into one chart, showing when multiple signals confirm market extremes.
ROI Since Peak
A chart showing the return on investment since the last market peak.
4 Year Comparison
A chart comparing Bitcoin price movements across 4-year cycles.
Private Halving Charts
Price With/Without Halving
Compares Bitcoin returns during halving periods (green) with non-halving periods (red), illustrating the halving's impact on price performance.
Bitcoin Price After Halvings
Shows the Bitcoin price after each halving, but scaled relative to the most recent halving (2024) and its price.
Private Moving Average Charts
Colored Mayer Multiple
Shows the Mayer Multiple, colored by percentile, to visually represent Bitcoin's price compared to its historical averages.
Realized Mayer Multiple
The ratio of Bitcoin's realized price to its 200-day realized price moving average.
200 Week Moving Average
A chart showing the 200-week moving average of Bitcoin price. vs the previous cycle peak.
Private Realized Price Charts
Realized Price Projection / Bands
The bottom band (realized price) acts as support, the middle band (MVRV 10-Year MA * realized price) projects price, and the top band serves as resistance.
10-Year Realized Price
The average price bitcoin were last moved at, only considering coins moved in the past 10 years. Includes color-coded MVRV ratio to identify market extremes.
Long Term Holder Realized Price
The average price at which long-term Bitcoin holders (>155 days) acquired their coins, providing insight into long-term holder cost basis.
Short term and Long Long term realied price
Comparing Bitcoin price against different realized price periods, namely short term and long term holding
Realized Price by Age
Realized Price across mulitple different time periods
Private Holder Charts
Long Term Holder Supply Change
The current amount of BTC held by LTHs compared to the amount held 30 days prior.
Short-Term Holder Supply
Short-Term Holder Supply (STH Supply) refers to the total Bitcoin supply held by entities that have held their coins for less than 155 days.
Short Term Holder Supply Change
Short Term Holder (STH) Supply Change simply measures the current amount of BTC held by STHs compared to the amount held 30 days prior.
Private MVRV Charts
MVRV Crosses
Shows when long term holder MVRV crosses below short term holder MVRV. These crosses have historically indicated bear market bottoms and bull market starts.
Long Term Holder MVRV
The Bitcoin price divided by the long term holder realized price.
Short Term Holder MVRV
The Bitcoin price divided by the short term holder realized price.
Private SOPR Charts
STH SOPR
STH SOPR (Short Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio) is a key on-chain metric that reveals whether Bitcoin is being sold at a profit or loss by holders who have held their coins for less than 155 days.
LTH SOPR
LTH SOPR (Long Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio) is a key on-chain metric that reveals whether Bitcoin is being sold at a profit or loss by holders who have held their coins for more than 155 days.
SOPR Ratio (LTH/STH)
SOPR Raio is a key on-chain metric thats shows the profitability of Long term held (LTH) against Short term held (STH) SOPR.
Private Stock Charts
MSTR Priced in Bitcoin
Shows the MSTR stock price denominated in BTC, alongside its regular USD price.
DXY vs BTC
Shows DXY and Bitcoin Price across time.
SP500 / Gold Ratio
Shows the SP500 / Gold ratio in Bitcoin.
Private ETF Charts
Bitcoin ETF Flows vs New Supply
Shows the total Bitcoin ETF flows vs the new supply of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin ETF Market Cap
Shows the percentage of Bitcoin's total market capitalization held by US spot ETFs over time, alongside the Bitcoin price.
ETF Flows vs New BTC (Net Change)
Shows the daily changes in Bitcoin ETF holdings minus the daily changes in the circulating supply of Bitcoin.
ETF Flows vs New BTC (Raw)
Shows the raw daily changes in Bitcoin ETF holdings vs the raw daily changes in the circulating supply of Bitcoin.
Private Tether Charts
Tether BTC
Shows the Tether supply vs Bitcoin price, as well as the year-over-year percentage change in Tether's supply.
Tether BTC Monthly
Shows the Tether supply vs Bitcoin price, as well as the monthly percentage change in Tether's supply.
Private ROI Charts
Yearly ROI
Shows the Bitcoin ROI from the beginning of each year.
Private Price Prediction Charts
Bitcoin Pi-Cycle Top Plus Long Term Price Predictions
Shows the Bitcoin price predictions from the Pi-Cycle Top Plus Long Term Price Predictions (ie. Power Law, S2F, HPR).
Private Macro Charts
BTC/Gold Z-Score
Shows the Bitcoin price compared to the Gold price, with a Z-Score calculated to show the relative value of Bitcoin to Gold.
