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MVRV Z-Score

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Price update 57 minutes ago
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<0 0–2 2–4 4–7 7+
Current Values
Now
Yesterday
Last Week
Last Month
Current Streak
365-Day High & Low
365d High
365d Low
Percentile Rank
All-Time Extremes
All-Time High
All-Time Low
Average Z-Score
Last 30 Days
Last 90 Days
Last 365 Days
All Time
Median Z-Score
Last 30 Days
Last 90 Days
Last 365 Days
All Time
Time in Current Zone (90d)
Current Zone
Days in Zone
% of Last 90 Days

All-time distribution of MVRV Z-Score across ranges.

All-Time Zone Distribution
Below 0
0 – 2
2 – 4
4 – 7
7+
Visual Breakdown

Average monthly MVRV Z-Score. Color-coded from green (accumulation) to red (overheated).

Past periods where the Z-Score stayed in the same zone as today's reading for at least 30 days. Returns are measured from the day it exited the zone. Excludes the most recent 6 months so all return windows have time to play out.

Date Z-Score BTC Price 30d Later 90d Later 180d Later

Average BTC return after each day in a given Z-Score zone over the last 3 years. Win Rate is the % of times BTC was higher 90 days later.

After Z-Score < 0
Avg 30d Return
Avg 90d Return
Win Rate (90d)
After Z-Score 0 – 2
Avg 30d Return
Avg 90d Return
Win Rate (90d)
After Z-Score 2 – 4
Avg 30d Return
Avg 90d Return
Win Rate (90d)
After Z-Score 4 – 7
Avg 30d Return
Avg 90d Return
Win Rate (90d)
After Z-Score 7+
Avg 30d Return
Avg 90d Return
Win Rate (90d)
Highest Z-Score Readings
DateZ-ScoreBTC Price30d Later90d Later
Lowest Z-Score Readings
DateZ-ScoreBTC Price30d Later90d Later

MVRV Z-Score at major Bitcoin market cycle peaks and bottoms.

Cycle Peaks
DateBTC PriceZ-ScoreDrawdown After
Cycle Bottoms
DateBTC PriceZ-ScoreReturn 1yr Later

MVRV Z-Score uses blockchain analysis to identify periods where Bitcoin is extremely over or undervalued relative to its 'fair value'.

MVRV Z-Score Chart Explained

The MVRV Z-Score, developed by Murad Mahmudov and David Puell, is a Bitcoin market analysis tool that evaluates Bitcoin's market value against its realized value.

The market value is simply Bitcoin's price, while the realized value considers the price at the time each Bitcoin last moved, accounting for lost or hodled coins.

MVRV Z-Score Formula

Z = (Market Value − Realized Value) / Std Dev(Market Value)
Market Value — Current Bitcoin price (what the market values BTC at right now)
Realized Value — Average price at which each BTC last moved on-chain (the aggregate cost basis)
Std Dev — Standard deviation of market value over the full history (normalizes the score across cycles)

MVRV vs MVRV-Z

While MVRV ratio is a simple ratio of market value to realized value, MVRV-Z score adds statistical analysis by measuring how many standard deviations the current MVRV is from its historical mean.

This standardization makes MVRV-Z more useful for comparing across different time periods and market cycles.

MVRV Ratio MVRV Z-Score
What It Does Simple ratio of market price to cost basis Measures how many standard deviations price is from cost basis
Typical Range 0.5 – 4+ -0.5 – 9
Across Cycles Peaks differ each cycle Normalized, easier to compare
Disclaimer
Any information found on this page is not to be considered as financial advice. You should do your own research before making any decisions.

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