Long Term Power Law
Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth.
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The Halving Price Regression (HPR) is a non-linear regressions curve calculated using only the bitcoin prices on the 3 halving dates. This method excludes the hype cycles to create a conservative trend line. The blue band is on trend (+/- 6 month) with each band above being another year ahead of the trend line. Green = 1 year ahead of trend, Yellow = 2 years ahead, etc. Logarithmic (non linear) Regression log10(price) = 2.6521LN(x)-18.163 Inputs: 28-Nov-2012 $12.33, 9-Jul-2016 $651.94, 11-May-2020 $8,591.65
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Bitcoin’s natural long-term power-law corridor of growth.
Shows 4 Bitcoin price models: power law, stock to flow, stock to income, and HPR Rainbow.
Shows Bitcoin's price in its current cycle compared to past cycles. Red dots indicate all-time highs.